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by Dr Antony Anderson C.Eng FIEE 6. Frequency of sudden unintended acceleration incidents and alleged examples Some control system malfunctions outside the automobile industry - Alleged incidents of sudden unintended acceleration - Litigation - Denial of McMath Petition - Discussion of NHTSA Denial IN discussing alleged automobile sudden unintended acceleration incidents, it is instructive to note that there have been a number of well documented examples of somewhat similar control system malfunctions in other fields. Here are a variety examples of malfunction in non-automotive systems, chosen to represent situations from the trivial to life threatening:
Alleged incidents of sudden
unintended acceleration Moving now to automobiles. Reported complaints of sudden
unintended acceleration, or unintended acceleration, are
relatively
infrequent. The main source of information is the NHTSA
Complaints Database.
Castelli, Nash, Ditlow and Pecht
in their analysis of the
NHTSA Complaints Database through to mid May 2001 report 25,181 (4.2%)
complaints of "sudden acceleration" out of more than 600,000 consumer
complaints, a figure that they judge conservative. Sudden acceleration
complaints to NHTSA accounted for 5,412 injuries and 303 deaths. By
their estimation, ninety four vehicle types in the examined NHTSA
database had sudden acceleration complaint rates of at least
30/100,000. In my opinion, a range of between 5 and 50 sudden
acceleration incidents per 100,000 vehicles would not seem an
unreasonable interpretation of the information currently available. Some well publicised examples of alleged incidents of sudden acceleration are listed below. Note 1
There have been a number of occasions where malfunction of a cruise control system has been proposed in court as the possible cause of a sudden unintended acceleration incident. See section 9.5 for references. The main counter-argument brought in litigation against a cruise control malfunction has been that the event may have been caused by driver mistakenly pressing the accelerator while thinking that they were applying the brake. Simplifying matters, and ignoring cases of stuck throttles, trapped actuator cables etc., there seem to be two plausible potential explanations of how the throttle might move to the fully open position: (1) cruise control OFF : therefore cruise control cannot act : driver malfunction causes throttle to openNeither explantion fits those cases where witnesses claim that the cruise control was OFF and the throttle moved of its own accord. So either the witnesses are lying, or they are telling the truth and some further explanation is required. How could it be hat a cruise control system that is to all appearances OFF may still be capable of a malfunction? The answer lies in understanding the distinction between the functions of control and protection. Electronic switching devices or controllers control the voltage or current in a load, but they do not electrically isolate a load from its power supply or provide protection against damage in the event of a fault while in operation. For electrical isolation and protection an electromechanical switch, a relay or a contact breaker is required. This principle is generally adopted, for example in domestic electrical supply. The individual device ( Kettle, washing machine, lawnmower etc.) has a controller of some kind and is protected by an overload cutout and fuse so that in the event of any failure the device is disconnected from the electrical supply. At the next level the ring main is protected against overload by its own circuit breaker. If that fails, then there is a main circuit breaker for the whole dwelling which will operate. Should the lawnmower controller become jammed in the fully open condition creating a potential runaway situation, the connector and socked between the power lead and the lawnmower will automatically disconnect the moment tension is applied to the lead, so bringing the lawnmower to a rapid halt. A similar distinction between control and protection/isolation is to be found in large turbogenerators where the speed is controlled by controlling the flow of steam using electrohydraulic governor valves. Protection is provided by emergency stop valves placed in series with the governor valves which cut off the supply of steam from the boiler in an emergency and isolate the turbine. It appears that the isolation and protection functions normally provided for control systems are absent in many automobile cruise control systems. Perhaps this is one of the reasons why cruise control systems appear to display the potential to malfunction with such serious knock-on results. It is in this context of an apparent lack of electrical isolation and protection of the power stages of cruise control systems, that we should consider the petition of Mr. Sandy S. McMath to the NHTSA[19th July 1999] to re-open their enquiry on sudden acceleration. McMath was representing the parents of two boys injured in an alleged sudden unintended acceleration incident in Mountain Home Arkansas June 7th 1995. The grounds of what seems to me to be a very reasonable petition were:
With reference to (1) the Denial says in Section 4.1.2 : "A review of the [NHTSA] Study demonstrates that this claim is without foundation. Clearly the Study considered the possibility that viable cruise control malfunctions could cause a SAI. But it found no evidence that faults "bypassing the control logic of the cruise control system" were a viable explanation for SAI. [SAI = Sudden Acceleration Incident = Sudden Unexplained Acceleration] ...Under the petitioner's theory, a vehicle involved in a cruise control related SAI would have had to experience the following simultaneous failures: (1) at least two electrical failures of the vacuum servo solenoid system; (2) a mechanical failure of the MVDV and (3) a mechanical failure of the brake system. Moreover, according to Mr. Sero, a post-SAI vehicle inspection would find not physical evidence that any of these systems failed. Thus Mr. Sero's theory is based on simultaneous electrical and mechanical faults, involving more than one element of the vehicle's control system, which would be undetectable after the incident has occurred . ...Extensive laboratory testing of the operation of cruise controls under stress from temperature extremes, power supply variations, EMI/RFI and high voltage discharges has demonstrated no failure modes of any relevance to SAI. Analysis of their circuitry shows that for nearly all controls designed in the past few years ["all" in the case of Ford], two or more independent, intermittent failures would have to occur simultaneously to cause throttle opening in a way that would be difficult to detect after the incident. The occurrence of such simultaneous, undetectable failures is virtually impossible." In effect the NHTSA appear to be denying the following :
One might ask the following of anyone expressing such robust views :
The NHTSA refutes the claim that it has "neglected to consider the mechanisms that can cause sudden acceleration by bypassing the control logic of the cruise control system and thus can induce sudden acceleration in a stationary vehicle." on the basis that it found no evidence in its original report that this postulated mechanism was a viable explanation for sudden acceleration. We shall see in the next section that, contrary to what the NHTSA asserts, faults on cruise control system boards are known to have occurred in the field and can be induced in the laboratory and therefore their argument loses most of its force.
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©Antony Anderson Version 1.0 February 2001 and Version 1.1 July 2001 |
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Section 6 Note 1: Well publicised incidents of alleged sudden unintended acceleration (See also section 9.5 with incidents grouped by manufacturer)
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The following are some possible intermittent fault scenarios :
Slade, Paul G. Electrical Contacts, Principles and Applications Marcel Decker 1999 ISBN 0-8247-1934-4 Holm, R.: "Electrical Contacts" Almqvist & Wiksells Akademiska Handboecker Hugo Gebers Foerlag Stockholm 1946. LLewellyn Jones, F.: The Physics of Electrical Contacts Oxford 1957 |